Thursday, August 19, 2010

THE CHINESE PARALLEX


Indians suffer from an acute Sinophobia. These fears reflect almost everywhere, from our domestic to foreign policy.

We see the Chinese engagement of Pakistan as an evidence of a sinister design. As a strategic counter balance to India. This may be the aim plus for the Chinese but the aim certainly is something else. So when the Chinese say, that India is a low priority threat, they are not lying. Chinese aspirations are aimed high. They extend beyond the horizons of Indian Ocean. Chinese believe they are a global power, and their vision depicts the same.

Pakistan, (With apologies to Quid- e- Azam) is a love child of US and UK. It was crafted with Intent to ensue the Anglo-Yankee footprint intact in Indian subcontinent. It cannot be sheer coincidence that two nations, Pakistan & Israel were created at the end of the Second World War. Both nations were crafted on the religious overtones. One Flanks the oil rich Arabia and Middle East from West & the other lies at the Eastern extremity. Both Nations have been in a constant state of conflict, increasing their dependability on the White Man’s Cartel.

In the days of cold war, (and before), both nation acted as a counter balance the Soviet threat. The Soviet threat receded with the end of the cold war. A new threat emerged for the White Man’s Cartel, the Peoples Republic of China.

As a result of Sino Indian conflict India initiated its pro west leaning. This encouraged China to absorb Pakistan in its fold. The condomisation of Pakistan by west, post its use in Afghan War pushed Pakistan further into PRCs fold. As on today, Sino-Pak Alliance is a natural bonding whereas US- Pak relationship appears to be forced one.

The Achilles heel of China lies to its West. It is where the ethnic minorities of Uighur and Tibetan dwell. These areas form a geographical continuity with the trouble torn Central Asia. Uprising of one community may fuel uprising of the other. These fear rally greatly in the mind of Sino strategist.

To check this China needs a Geographic buffer which coincides with the Northern Areas of Pakistan. This is where PRC is making investments in infrastructure development. By increasing a footprint in northern areas PRC can effectively check the growth of Islamic radicalization of Uighur. The continuity of Northern Areas to Wakhan corridor gives PRC a presence in Afghan battlefield as an independent player. In future the region is likely to act as a regulator for energy outflow from CAR.

PRC needs a remote to control Uighur Islamic Fundamentalist, which ISI provides. ISI provides a proxy to PRC for supporting Taliban & Al Qaida networks. It needs a counterbalance to US presence in Gulf, which is provided by Pakistan in general and Gwadar in particular. Gwadar also provides PRC physical continuity to Iran. To remain viable PRC needs Pakistan to be on its right side.

To keep Pakistan along PRC needs to appear Anti India. Moreover posturing anti India also takes care of the Tibetan issue.

Chinese assistance to Pakistan is not intended to threaten India, but to dislodge USA. It is by nuclear proliferation to Pakistan and DPRK PRC has been able to divert energies of USA which otherwise could have been used to make it unstable
.
A new Great Game is unfolding in the barren outcrops of Baluchistan. It is being played between the White Man’s Cartel & PRC. The Game extends into Afghanistan. If the things go the way PRC has envisaged, Iran- Pakistan –China pipeline will come up in no time. Gwadar will expand as a fully operational Sino-Pak (maybe Iran) naval base and the western hegemony will erode.
US is leaving no stones unturned to counter this design. Its presence in Pakistan is ensuring indefinite delay in the realization of this dream.

It is a matter of speculation, who plays the pawns on this checkerboard. Both are playing with intent to checkmate each other. Pakistan unfortunately continues to play the role of a checker board.

India is breeding a disillusion of being a player in this game. The truth is we have no role to play. We as a country are being used as a paperweight by the players to fix the board to the table. We are being pampered by US and coerced by China to stay as we are where we are.

If we can accept this fact, we can change the game.

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