Tuesday, May 4, 2021

The Election Equation

It's a wrong notion that elections in India are won on policies and performance. The out come of the electoral jugglery is directly proportional to grass root penetration of the party caders and the neusence value they yield. The cajoling, threatening, coercion coefficient of these caders directly influences the outcome.

These caders run parallel economy and system which fuels the party growth and police is used as a tool to execute control over these.

The result of recently held state elections bear a testimony to this fact. All sitting governments have been voted back. Primary because of this control. Take Assam for instance, areas under control of Bahruddin Azkmal were won by INC candidates. These are the areas where he executes the grass root control.

The imaginary victory of BJP in bengal was a tall order. I am sure even BJP HQ was aware of this. They have made a dent in the TMC bastion and from this secure position they will eat into TMC cader base,an. essential to make gains in 24 and topple TMC in 26. The violence you see has been pogromed to nip the BJP in the bud so fear prevents migration of the cader.

The same trend will be visible in all state elections and even 24 elections.

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